CIS poll puts PSOE ahead in Fuerteventura’s province before general election
The CIS forecasts three or four PSOE seats in Las Palmas province, which includes Fuerteventura, ahead of Spain’s general election on 29 November.
A pre-election poll by Spain’s Centre for Sociological Research (CIS) puts the PSOE ahead in Las Palmas province, which includes Fuerteventura, ahead of the general election on 29 November. The survey forecasts three or four seats for the party in the province, two each for the PP and Vox, and between none and one for Unidad del Pueblo Canario (UPC).
Across the Canary Islands, the CIS forecast gives the PSOE between six and eight of the archipelago’s 15 seats in Congress. The PP and Vox are each projected to win three or four, UPC between none and two, and CC-Primero Canarias none. The island-wide ranges are calculated by adding the upper and lower ends of the two provincial forecasts.
In Las Palmas, the survey suggests the PSOE and UPC are competing for the last of the province’s eight seats. In Santa Cruz de Tenerife, which elects seven deputies, the forecast gives the PSOE three or four seats, the PP and Vox one or two each, and UPC none or one. Coalición Canaria would lose the seat it won there in 2023.
Direct voting intention
Asked which party they would vote for, 29.2% of respondents in Las Palmas province named the PSOE, 18% Vox and 14.9% the PP. UPC received 6.5% and CC-Primero Canarias 3%, while 17.4% said they had not yet decided.
Across the Canary Islands, 28.4% named the PSOE, 17.3% Vox and 14.9% the PP. A further 6.6% chose UPC, 3.4% CC-Primero Canarias and 2.1% Se Acabó la Fiesta. The proportion who had not yet decided stood at 18.4%, while 3% did not answer. These figures reflect respondents’ direct answers, rather than the seat forecast.
For Spain as a whole, the CIS projects between 134 and 143 seats for the PSOE. Its projected ranges for the PP and Vox would not give the two parties a combined absolute majority in Congress.
The CIS interviewed 2,010 people in the Canary Islands between 7 and 30 October: 1,033 in Las Palmas province and 977 in Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Its technical details give a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points for the archipelago, 3.1 for Las Palmas and 3.2 for Santa Cruz de Tenerife.